"He's definitely my best chance of the week and will love the testing conditions. He improved for last week's close 3rd ...the extra furlong will bring out the best in him." K Fallon booked for B Ellison, all rides this century; 6-21 28.6%SR, +20.85pts. Career win was on very soft over 8fl at Saint-Cloud for Andre Fabre, looking well-treated now off 82.
Ducked by Coral, always the best guide to Godolphin runners. Ran 3rd last year, beaten 3/4 length despite a crawling early pace over the 10fl tapeta course. In need of his warm up, reports suggest he has come on nicely. Officially rated 5lbs lower than So You Think, by no means unbridgeable on tapeta. A winner of G2's at Royal Ascot & Meydan over 1m4fl, he stands to benefit significantly for the strong early pace set to prevail this time.
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MATCH ANALYSIS
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The best value match outcome bet is to back City's home record with some cover on the draw, -0.25 on the Asian Handicap is the best stats call.
Man City (-0.25 Asian Hcp) Won @ 1.87
The 1st goal to be scored after 27 minutes has paid out in this fixture the last (7/7):
1st Goal +27 min - Won @ 2.0
Other recommended angles:
HT Draw - Lost @ 2.3
Under 1.5 Goals - Won @ 4.33
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Planet Of Sound must concede 12lbs to Carruithers, which looks likes a lot. The latter is well handicapped and cannot be dismissed on a line of form with What A Friend off level weights in the Totesport Bowl G1. He's still only 8, lightly raced and nicely prepped (reportedly very well). Despite a preference for genuine ease, he copes with any safe ground and looks a fair EW shot at 20/1 overnight.
Raised 12lbs for an impressive victory on chase debut for Lawney Hill, but comes here still looking potentially well treated. Wolf moon is quietly fancied, but Chapolimoss was travelling well behind him on level terms last Feb over an extended trip on gd-sft when falling (Catterick), and re-opposes here with a 9lb pull (including claim) and the prospect of more to come.
Trained for this and taken to deliver signnificant improvement. Put a line through his last run, the turn of foot and class he showed at Goodwood is a much better guide of what he's all about. He's bred for the job, with the best stamina profile of any runner and we think he holds an outstanding chance. Reportedly in brilliant shape at home.
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